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It
is a common criticism of the Bush administration.
The cries of "It's all about oil" spring
forth like a gusher during any public discourse
regarding Iraq or the Middle East.
If
you ask me, the cries are correct. It IS all about
oil.
The
difference is that I think it ought to be.
It
is time for the citizens of the US to take an
honest look at why we have a military in the first
place. As someone who enjoys reading military
history, I have lots of opinions on the subject.
As someone who has never been in the military
I have to preface my opinion with this disclaimer:
I am neither an historian nor a former serviceman.
My opinions are those of an outsider to the military.
Why
does any nation spend the extraordinary amount
of time, money, effort, and lives necessary to
maintain a peacetime force? There are many reasons,
but defending one's borders is the first reason
that comes to mind. Providing direct aid to allies
is another. Securing access to resources is yet
another, and is one that actually underlies the
first two.
The
people of the US enjoy several beliefs that say
more about our ideals than our grasp of reality.
We liked to think we had no real enemies in the
world, just friends we hadn't met. We like to
think that war over resources is something OTHER
nations make, but we are somehow too noble for
such petty actions.
Fortunately,
most of our democratically elected leaders throughout
our history knew better. During and after World
War II the United States became the dominant Naval
Power in the world, and we currently have combat
power equivalent to several times the combined
force of the rest of the world according to some
estimates. We have this Navy and also our Air
Force for one reason, which is to project American
military power wherever our national interests
are threatened.
Do not interpret this to mean that the US is inclined
to resort to military force quickly. Like any
democracy the act of making war is a slow and
laborious process. It took a direct attack on
our ability to project force in the Pacific to
bring us into World War II.
During
the Reagan presidency Secretary of Defense Caspar
Weinberger articulated the circumstances wherein
the US should use military force. This brilliant
recognition of the wrongheaded policies employed
during the Vietnam War became known as the "Weinberger
Doctrine." In summary, it stated that the
US or close allie's vital interests must be at
stake, that we must fight to win clearly defined
political objectives, we must have Congressional
support, the public should be behind the war,
force must be necessary and appropriate, and other
diplomatic means should be exhausted.
Weinberger
was not read these criteria by a burning bush,
but they are an astute analysis of what was lacking
in Vietnam. They provide an interesting viewpoint
on the Iraq situation.
Does
Iraq threaten us vital interests? Clearly. Free
market access to oil in the Middle East was, is,
and will be one of our vital interests for a long
time. Without it our economy will tank, which
carries with it ancillary costs in crime, poverty,
joblessness, and other dire consequences. We also
have been very reluctant to develop our own oil
resources. When someone says we shouldn't overthrow
Hussein ask them if we can drill for oil in Alaska
instead.
Do
we have clearly defined political objectives that
we will fight to win? This is more hazy. After
Saddam goes who goes up in his place, and what
will it cost us? Personally, I think this is the
stickiest point in the whole endeavor.
Will
we have Congressional and public support? Probably.
Saddam is a very hard man to love, and despite
all the nattering about how sanctions are crippling
Iraq he has plenty of treasure to spend on weapons
and palaces, as well as most Sunnis. It is the
Kurds and Shiites who are getting shafted, because
Saddam hates them and they hate him.
Is
force necessary and appropriate? Of course. Saddam
is going nowhere without a toe tag, and he has
a few loyalists who will go down with him. The
war will not hurt Iraq very much, unless Saddam
lets loose with his chemical weapons. While our
side, with the best training and equipment, will
only be mildly inconvenienced Saddam's people
will have a very rough go of it.
Are
other diplomatic means exhausted? Ask the UN.
They won't rescind the sanctions or the no-fly
zones but won't lift a word of complaint when
the US and UK forces get shot at enforcing them.
They should be thrilled that we will do one more
dog and pony show to pretend they are relevant.
Lets
contrast this with some other uses of force since
WWII. For example:
Vietnam. We lost tens of thousands of lives and
spent billions fighting a pointless war in support
of a bunch of crooks in the South. What was in
it for us?
Korea. South Koreans complain that the US is blocking
Korean reunification. Which we are, at great expense.
We don't want reunification, at least on the North's
terms.
Serbia. The Yugoslav governments have been corrupt
wrecks since WWI, and the civil wars were often
between the criminal kingpins in power versus
the kingpins not in power, with religious clashes
thrown in. Now we have the 1st Armored Division
keeping the peace in Bosnia and Kosovo, where
Al Qaeda can recruit new batches of terrorists
without all that nasty fighting.
When
we send our nation's sons and daughters into harms
way, we incur a great oblication to them. First,
they deserve the best training and equipment we
can afford. Secondly, they deserve our full support
and acclaimation. Lastly, they should go in knowing
they fight for something tangible and important.
One
of the most common criticisms of Bush is that
he is somehow picking on Iraq, when North Korea
is just as bad. This is stated as though the United
States was somehow obligated to treat all bad
regimes in the same manner. This criticism is
often shouted with righteous indignation in order
to demonstrate that the war is about oil.
When
it comes down to it, some mother will be notified
that her son or daughter is dead in a faraway
land and was sacrificed to protect our economic
interests and our freedom to live as we have lived,
in prosperity, health, and liberty. That loss
is a tragedy. If parents must be told their child
is dead because despite our lack of national interest
we have to look consistent to the rest of the
world, then that loss is an outrage.
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